Football · Home / Draw / Away
Forecast record
The first eligible forecast saved before kickoff, alongside the final result.
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What this record measures
One first-published home/draw/away forecast per fixture. The headline percentage measures the strongest 1X2 outcome, including draws. It does not measure slip success, every market, or betting profit. Brier score sums the squared probability errors across all three outcomes. Log loss uses the probability assigned to the actual outcome, with a floor of 0.000001.
The historical bookmaker benchmark on the home page is a separate test. The publication metrics here are not backtest results.